REPS: Trump 84-12
INDIES: Biden 54-33
DEMS: Biden 93-1
MALES: Trump 47-45
FEMALES: Biden 60-34
18-49: Biden 60-29
50-64: Trump 56-43
65+: Biden 52-42
WHITES: Biden 48-46
NON-WHITES: Biden 76-16
WHITE NO DEGREE: 55-39 Trump
WHITE DEGREE: 61-34 Biden
DAMN, look at that lead with women.
For all the talk of "demographic shift" we've heard, the biggest shift I'm seeing in polls (relative to 2016 and before) is women leaving the GOP in droves. Women have leaned Dem for decades, but a 28-point gender gap is unprecedented. Women are slightly over half the population, and usually turn out in bigger numbers than men.
Also, what's with the age breakdown? 18-49 in one category, then the next one is 50-64? What a weird increment to use.
Biden leading among whites in a 2016 Trump state is also big, considering Trump won PA whites by double digits last time around.
Agreed that is a weird increment....
The age numbers are still interesting, especially considering that 65+ is roughly 22% of PA VAP, 50-64 is 22% of VAP and 18-49 is something like 56% of VAP.
