Just going to cross-post from the primary comparison thread:
Absolutely no way to spin the Georgia results as a positive for Biden. If he can’t turnout primary voters to even remotely keep pace with Trump, what hope does he have with lower-propensity general election voters, who we know favor Trump by greater margins?
Not sure who decided to suddenly invent this “primary turnout doesn’t matter” myth. It was the strongest early predictor of Obama’s win in 2008 and was superior to polling in predicting 2020, once both races were uncontested.
I don’t think caucuses are the same, or primaries on different dates or in different environments should be compared, but Georgia isn’t that, and Biden got flattened. He has an evident enthusiasm gap with every type of voter and is the underdog.
Both of those were competitive primaries. How much did it matter for the incumbents in 2004, 12, 20?
Anecdotally, I didn't bother voting in WA yesterday, because there were no local races I cared about and I didn't care about the noncompetitive primary. I'm very obviously going to vote for Joe Biden in November.
