Virginia 2009 Megathread

[Ronnie]

I just want to see BRTD supporting the Republican if McAuliffe wins the nomination.

[Ronnie]

PPP:

McDonnell: 49%
Deeds: 43%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_707.pdf

[Ronnie]

I know that polls this far out are useless, but it's just nice to know that McDonnell has a small lead.

Plus, Kaine barely won.

[Ronnie]

Oh woops, I looked at the race between Jim Webb and George Allen.

[Ronnie]

A 15 point lead is BS, but I bet McDonnell is a little bit ahead.

It would be awesome for us to pick up both NJ and VA.

[Ronnie]

Woo!

[Ronnie]

R2000/Daily Kos:

McDonnell 51%
Deeds 43%

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/8/5/VA/321

[Ronnie]

Rasmussen VA-Gov

McDonnell 47%
Deeds 38%

W/ Leaners:

McDonnell 49%
Deeds 41%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/virginia/election_2009_virginia_governor_election

Actually I expected worse numbers since:

1)It's Rasmussen.

2)I read that there were recently some signs of panic coming from Deeds's campaign.

Since when is Rasmussen bad?

[Ronnie]

This race is looking really good for us.

I'm starting to get a little nervous about NJ, though.

[Ronnie]

Obama has a 57% approval according to the WaPo poll, so I'm not too concerned.

Stop cherrypicking.  First, this poll is way out there when compared to other polls measuring his approval rating in VA, and second, it hardly matters when it comes to the actual race.  The other Washington Post poll has McDonnell leading by around 15 points.

[Ronnie]

I love Deed's new radio ad:


MALE VO: That’s why I’m voting for Creigh Deeds.

FEMALE VO: That underdog guy?

MALE VO: Mmm-hmm … the state senator who partnered with Mark Warner to reform our budget and protect our schools.

FEMALE VO: Yeah I saw on his website he wants tax cuts for any business that creates just one new job. And I love his idea for auditing ALL government spending.

MALE VO: Common sense leader... Pro-business...

FEMALE VO: Creigh Deeds: a little more Mark Warner and a LOT less George Bush.

MALE VO: Sounds like a Governor on OUR side.

You can listen to it here:

http://vodpod.com/watch/2111236-another-deeds-radio-ad-grass-stains

[Ronnie]

I predict their next poll, then, has Deeds-9.

[Ronnie]

Deeds seems to be narrowing, but I think McDonnell will pull it out in the end.

[Ronnie]

Bob McDonnell says a naughty word: http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/files/mcdonnell.f.word.wma

I knew that if I was running a campaign, that would happen to me very often.