Or will it trend red, or become a sort of mega NC?
• North Carolina—Bellwether
• Texas—Lean Republican
The only states which have voted for the winners in the last four election cycles—which are now the longest unbroken streak—are Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
2012 Barack Obama and 2020 Joe Biden each won the U.S. Popular Vote by, and this is using a whole number, +4. Had they won by +5, they would have also carried the next state within reach—North Carolina. I think this state will start, here in 2024, reliably carrying for U.S. presidential election winners.
Texas is the next Top 10 populous state, after North Carolina, within reach for Democrats.
