In which governors races will Dems perform better than 2018 (in terms of margin?)

[DS0816]

• Massachusetts
• Maryland

Those are obvious.



• Arizona
• New Hampshire
• Vermont

Those are considered.


The 2018-to-2022 Republicans will increase their percentage-points margins in nearly or all of the rest. Around 30 of the 36 states.

[DS0816]

It's obviously FL, you guys really think DeSantis is gonna win by 12 and he won by 0.5 last time against a Socialist, Crist can certainly win

The Democrats have no feasible shot at flipping the governorship in Florida.

Ron DeSantis will win re-election by at least +6 percentage points. May be closer to—perhaps even reach—+10. This is due to both his popularity and that the midterm elections of 2022 are going to be wave in favor of his political party.

I anticipate Ohio’s Mike DeWine will get re-elected by a similar level in percentage-points margin.

[DS0816]

It's obviously FL, you guys really think DeSantis is gonna win by 12 and he won by 0.5 last time against a Socialist, Crist can certainly win

The Democrats have no feasible shot at flipping the governorship in Florida.

Ron DeSantis will win re-election by at least +6 percentage points. May be closer to—perhaps even reach—+10. This is due to both his popularity and that the midterm elections of 2022 are going to be wave in favor of his political party.

I anticipate Ohio’s Mike DeWine will get re-elected by a similar level in percentage-points margin.

You gotta be kidding me DeSantis won by 0.5 against a Socialist Afro Americans do you know the polls have been all over the place Crist plus 3 DeSantis plus 16 and DeSantis plus 11 I like how users think that just because they make a declaration the race is Over, 🚫

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The 2018 Democrats won the U.S. Popular Vote for U.S. Governors by +3.07 percentage points. (Outcome: Democratic 50.37% vs. Republican 47.30%.) Ron DeSantis won a Republican hold for Governor of Florida by +0.40. So, DeSantis ran an extra +3 to +4 above the Republicans’s national performance.

[DS0816]

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Barnes and Fetterman have 2/3rds of a chance of beating Oz and Johnson, …

Pennsylvania U.S. Senate will end up retained by the Republicans while they win majority control pickup of the upper chamber of Congress.

I anticipate the 2022 Democrats will not flip any U.S. Senate seats currently in the column for the Republicans.