WI-03 will absolutely flip in 2022 now.
Agree.
The Republicans, en route to flipping the U.S. House with the midterm elections of 2022, is likely to see their involved states include the combination of the Rust Belt bellwethers Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
The 2020 Democrats won the U.S. Popular Vote, for U.S. House, by +3.12 percentage points. (Result was Democratic 50.81% vs. Republican 47.69%.) Ron Kind, the incumbent Democrat from Wisconsin #03, underperformed his party’s national margin with one that was +2.66.
This was a district carried by unseated Donald Trump. This sets up with a midterm election in which the White House party is Democratic with a cycle favorable to the Republicans.
It is not surprising Ron Kind, after more than two decades, is opting for retirement.