Will Hillary win by a smaller or greater margin than Obama-2012?

[DS0816]

2016 wont be a landslide.

It is a difficult election for Dems given it is a 3rd term.

I am confident Hilary can overcome that, though, the election will be close.

A realigning election results, at least at some point, of the dominant party winning a third consecutive election cycle. The Democratic-Republican (1800 to 1824), Democratic (1828 to 1856), Republican (1860 to 1892), Republican (1896 to 1928), Democratic (1932 to 1964), and Republican (1968 to 2004) parties were not prevented from the opposition parties in having the experience of winning a third consecutive election cycle.

Perhaps you aren't aware that 2008 was a realigning election for the Democrats.

[DS0816]

I'll say greater. Could totally be wrong, but we'll see.

You will likely be totally correct and not totally wrong.

[DS0816]

Larger margin, same amount of EV.

Not the same map.

No map has been repeated exactly (a duplication) with any of the past 57 United States presidential elections of 1789 to 2012.

[DS0816]

Larger margin, same amount of EV.

Not the same map.

No map has been repeated exactly (a duplication) with any of the past 57 United States presidential elections of 1789 to 2012.

There's a first for everything.

Not "everything".

[DS0816]

If Hillary Clinton ends up winning the 2016 presidential election, and wins a Democratic pickup from North Carolina, she won't be seeing Florida flip Republican. Her popular-vote margin will be larger. If she gains just the state of North Carolina, for 347 electoral votes, she will likely end up with an estimated increase of three percentage points with having won the U.S. Popular Vote (as compared to the 2012 re-election of incumbent Democratic president Barack Obama). If Arizona were to flip to her, so would Georgia. And then we'd be seeing her win the U.S. Popular Vote by about ten percentage points. (And, with that, Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, Indiana, and Missouri would be on the cusp.)