Quinnipiac: Biden and Trump Tied in TX, Biden +8 in PA

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Those O'Rourke-Trump voters in Laredo, El Paso, Brownsville, and McAllen are sure keeping Trump in this!

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Those O'Rourke-Trump voters in Laredo, El Paso, Brownsville, and McAllen are sure keeping Trump in this!

I don’t think your average Trump supporter would dare vote for Beto in 2018.

That was sarcasm.

A good proxy for how hispanic voters in Texas vote is looking at, well, the counties where hispanics make up 90%+ of the population. AKA, south Texas/El Paso. And there is nothing to indicate Trump will get anywhere near 40% in those places.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

When I saw QPac released another Texas poll, I was pleasantly surprised to see a tie! Them & YouGov have typically been Trump's best pollsters in Texas, so for them to have a tie is pretty great news to me (Especially with Biden winning Hispanics by single-digits apparently).

Senate race could be better, but even that shows a tighter race than their previous polls.

Yeah, I think this points to a Biden lead in Texas. I still expect Cornyn to eke it out, but it'll be a lot closer than people assume it will be.

I think if Biden does win, he has a good chance of pulling the RRC candidate across the line with him.