Quinnipiac: Biden and Trump Tied in TX, Biden +8 in PA
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  Quinnipiac: Biden and Trump Tied in TX, Biden +8 in PA 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Biden and Trump Tied in TX, Biden +8 in PA  (Read 2476 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: October 21, 2020, 01:01:30 PM »
https://poll.qu.edu/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=3680

TEXAS: Biden 47%, Trump 47%

PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 51%, Trump 43%

TEXAS SENATE: Cornyn 49%, Hegar 43%
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exopolitician
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 01:02:31 PM »
Oop, Texas is still pretty close. I dunno if Hegar is going to pull this one off though.
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VAR
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 01:02:43 PM »
Wow!
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2020, 01:02:45 PM »
That 413 is looking more and more to be a reality...
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2020, 01:03:04 PM »
Quinn has a rich history of overestimating Trump with latinos relative to other polling outfits, so this is very good news for Biden.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2020, 01:03:37 PM »
my prediction was fairly good. i had texas tied and biden+10 in PA(my gut initially said +9, but went up a notch)
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VAR
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2020, 01:04:18 PM »
Hispanics: 51-43 Biden
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2020, 01:04:25 PM »
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on October 21, 2020, 01:03:04 PM
Quinn has a rich history of overestimating Trump with latinos relative to other polling outfits, so this is very good news for Biden.
Yep, they had Trump up 5 in TX last month.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2020, 01:04:50 PM »
https://poll.qu.edu/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=3680

October 16-19

PA
1241 likely voters
MoE: 2.8
Changes with October 1-5

Biden 51% (-3)
Trump 43% (+2)
Someone else 1% (n/c)
Don't know/no answer 5% (+2)

TX
1145 likely voters
MoE: 2.9
Changes with September 17-21

Biden 47% (+2)
Trump 47% (-2)
Someone else 1%
Don't know/no answer 5% (+1)
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Buzz
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2020, 01:06:43 PM »
Great!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2020, 01:06:45 PM »

No way in hell will that happen. Of course, they may be overestimating Biden with whites too.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2020, 01:07:10 PM »
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on October 21, 2020, 01:03:04 PM
Quinn has a rich history of overestimating Trump with latinos relative to other polling outfits, so this is very good news for Biden.

Yep, they only have him winning Latinos by 8 while tied statewide. So this bodes very well for Biden.

Also, PA sounds about exactly right.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2020, 01:07:18 PM »
The fact that Texas is still tied this late in the cycle tells you absolutely everything you need to know.

Also significantly more reasonable Pennsylvania numbers than their last poll here.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2020, 01:07:37 PM »
Wonderful, wonderful polls
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President Johnson
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2020, 01:07:43 PM »
Scranton Joe! Cowboy Joe!

Seriously, the Biden campaign should increase its efforts in Texas. If they can poll this well among almost all pollsters in the Lone Star State, that tells you it's winnable. Not that they need it or that they should neglect the Rust Belt, but it would give Trump what he deserves: A crushing defeat alá 1980.
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Sestak
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2020, 01:08:25 PM »
Thank you Q!


Biden only +8 with latinos lmao
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2020, 01:09:09 PM »
in before olawakandi says something about HEGAR and makes a point to say HEGAR in all caps at every possible opportunity.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2020, 01:09:14 PM »
Wasserman has said that Trump has gained with latinos all around the country compared to 2016. He also mentioned that Trump is doing better in rio grande area compared to 2016. Of course anything about 40% of trump support among latinos is unlikely but trump doing better with latinos isnt as crazy as it sounds
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2020, 01:09:30 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 21, 2020, 01:06:45 PM

No way in hell will that happen. Of course, they may be overestimating Biden with whites too.

Nate Cohen was saying their polling issues with Hispanics are essentially countered with their polling issues with whites with no college degrees.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2020, 01:09:53 PM »
Bluxas, here I come!
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The Mikado
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« Reply #20 on: October 21, 2020, 01:13:15 PM »
Where we Joe one, we Joe all.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #21 on: October 21, 2020, 01:20:47 PM »
Those O'Rourke-Trump voters in Laredo, El Paso, Brownsville, and McAllen are sure keeping Trump in this!
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2020, 01:26:52 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 21, 2020, 01:20:47 PM
Those O'Rourke-Trump voters in Laredo, El Paso, Brownsville, and McAllen are sure keeping Trump in this!

I don’t think your average Trump supporter would dare vote for Beto in 2018.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #23 on: October 21, 2020, 01:28:29 PM »
Quote from: BaldEagle1991 on October 21, 2020, 01:26:52 PM
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 21, 2020, 01:20:47 PM
Those O'Rourke-Trump voters in Laredo, El Paso, Brownsville, and McAllen are sure keeping Trump in this!

I don’t think your average Trump supporter would dare vote for Beto in 2018.

That was sarcasm.

A good proxy for how hispanic voters in Texas vote is looking at, well, the counties where hispanics make up 90%+ of the population. AKA, south Texas/El Paso. And there is nothing to indicate Trump will get anywhere near 40% in those places.
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Hammy
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« Reply #24 on: October 21, 2020, 01:30:33 PM »
Quinnfalgar is back
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