GA-WSB-TV: Trump+2 (user search)
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  GA-WSB-TV: Trump+2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-WSB-TV: Trump+2  (Read 2577 times)
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« on: October 09, 2020, 05:10:26 PM »

Show me the white-black percentage before we turn this into a Dems in Disarray thread
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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Posts: 4,098
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2020, 05:37:11 PM »


I don’t get why people think this matters, polls that had Abrams and Kemp tied were 64% white as well.

There doesn’t need to be a polling error for GA to flip. But if Biden can’t lead a poll here, 413 won’t happen.

I would say usually the focus on crosstabs is excessive, but in GA and the rest of the south where you can predict with high confidence how someone will vote based on race alone, crosstabs is a good thing to look at when you try and compare it to what the Electorate will likely be. I’d be shocked if whites made up more than 60% of the GA vote at most, and more realistically, probably around 56-58 in a presidential year.
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