Arizona is either underestimating Dems or is the biggest surprise of the cycle.
Who had Wisconsin voting significantly to the left of Arizona?
Me. I always insisted, even before the election turned in Biden's favor around late April, that Arizona would flip after Wisconsin. I do think both are flipping though, at least at this point. Actually Florida may even flip before Arizona.
Nope. I can't even remember the last time a Democrat underperformed polling in Arizona. If Biden has a lead in Arizona polling, it's probably safe to assume that he is actually leading there, compared to say, a similar polling lead in Wisconsin, Florida, Iowa, or Ohio.
