Georgia (PPP): Biden +4

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

But it’s just not there yet.

There's simply no modern precedent for Democrats winning Georgia. They never won it in 28 years, so don't even try.

We can't risk it. Must play it safe and get that 40% margin in MI/PA/WI

If all you do is play it safe, you might lose a state you're playing it safe on, while also losing a reach state you might have won with some effort.

Monstro is mocking the idiots that think it’s wise to pump hundreds of millions of dollars into only PA, MI, WI, and AZ and not DARE waste any money on “reach” states like FL, NC, GA and TX

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Georgia could very well vote to the left of North Carolina.

If I were a betting man, I'd put money on this.

I wouldn't. Democrats are being massively underrated in North Carolina, and voter suppression will be too much in Georgia.

As mentioned earlier, Republicans still have a lot of room to grow in rural North Carolina where Trump didn’t hit 80% in a single county. The suburbs are a lot redder in NC as well and moving left at a much slower pace than the Atlanta bubble . Republicans are damn near maxed out in their Georgia strongholds

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

But it’s just not there yet.

There's simply no modern precedent for Democrats winning Georgia. They never won it in 28 years, so don't even try.

We can't risk it. Must play it safe and get that 40% margin in MI/PA/WI

If all you do is play it safe, you might lose a state you're playing it safe on, while also losing a reach state you might have won with some effort.

Monstro is mocking the idiots that think it’s wise to pump hundreds of millions of dollars into only PA, MI, WI, and AZ and not DARE waste any money on “reach” states like FL, NC, GA and TX

Hell, if Sinema hadn't won her Senate race, I'd wager AZ being in the GA/TX column too. Even with Biden leading in all but 2 polls this year.

Honestly, I'd trade priorities between NC & GA. Invest in both states' Senate races, but start ramping up resources in those Atlanta suburbs

Democrats also won the Secretary of State race in 2018.

I'm aware. Plus the Superintendent race. And Democrats getting more votes in US House & State Senate races. And Democrats getting closer to flipping the State House.

I wouldn't doubt some Sinema coattails helped out a little bit. Otherwise, it'd probably go under the Texas mantra of "Well, it was 2018. Of course Dems would do better, but that all changes somehow in 2020"

I agree completely. Sinema’s victory really wasn’t substantially different from O’Rourke’s and Abrams’ narrow losses. But the fact that she won and they didn’t biases people in thinking that Georgia and Texas are insurmountable compared to Arizona