I think Beto hit the ceiling for at least one or two cycles. Cruz was hated in a way that Trump isn't in TX. I think it'll be within 2-3 points.
This seems right. Beto/Cruz seems like the best case scenario for Democrats right now. The Dems had a charismatic candidate and Ted Cruz is basically the worst human being alive. So I don't see how Biden outperforms Beto even with some additional minority turnout.
The way some people talk about Texas here, you'd think Texans perceive Trump to be Mother Theresa compared to Cruz lol
This couldn't be further from the truth