Likely R. Don't see any way that Sanders can win considering his awful comments regarding Castro/Cuba and his consistently poor numbers with older voters. Would be the biggest margin of victory in Florida since '88, Sanders is just a really bad fit. Wouldn't be surprised if it gets triaged early on.
To believe this....one would have to believe that old Atlas trope that the voters are rational robots who immediately respond to consultant driven intellectual campaign points.
I wouldn't be surprised if Sanders loses FL but I doubt it'll come from some nonsense based on the rational all knowing voter theory.
He was openly defending Castro on 60 Minutes tonight, it has been picked up by almost every major news source. You don't think that is going to have an impact on Cuban-American voters? But sure, keep your head in the sand.
As for older voters, the numbers speak for themselves.
Again. This isnt about keeping my head in the sand but to poke fun at the logic behind your reasoning: For your scenario to be true....one would have to assume that all Cuban voters in Florida are actively paying attention to the issues of the election. Now, let's take it one step further: All Cubans are forever thinking about Castro and the Communist regime and those thoughts affect how they vote.
Imagine in 2015 if you asked Evangelical Christians: "would you vote for a philandering billionaire who pays off pornstars he raw dogged?"
Of course....the rational answer is that they wouldn't vote for such a person because of morals and morality. Again....stop thinking that voters are rationally reacting in election outcomes.
You are so right. This should be framed