Elizabeth Warren 2020 Megathread v2 (pg 35 - Emily List support)

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Only $80k for a for year degree? I’m wonrdering where you went to school cuz that sounds like a steal

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Warren's momentum is surging. Recently she's been endorsed by 45 Michigan electeds, the Oregon House Speaker, UNITE-HERE Local 11, 3,000 activists, and the Storm Lake Times. A poll recently came out with her favorables the highest in Iowa, and the least % of Democrats would be disappointed by her nomination. Meanwhile Sanders' net favorables plummeted by 20 points.

That’s a bizarre way of looking at momentum when she’s stayed stagnant or she’d support in most polls

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Warren is cancelling ad time in NV and SC:

https://twitter.com/Ad_Analytics/status/1224827035706589185

She needs first or second in NH to continue on as viable

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Warren is cancelling ad time in NV and SC:

https://twitter.com/Ad_Analytics/status/1224827035706589185

Dang, makes sense though.

People are drawing leaps of spurious conclusions from this; it is common in media marketing to reallocate spend to target specific demographics.

She was polling 4th and came in a strong 3rd. She is staying in through Super Tuesday at least.

Which I am very happy to see, as I intend to vote for her on March 3 -or earlier once I get my absentee ballot.  I have been looking at potential second-choices (Bernie Sanders included) in the event Elizabeth Warren didn't survive the first four contests as I don't want to see my vote wasted on a zombie candidate.  

You might want to wait til after NH then to see if she is a zombie candidate or not. She’s done if she doesn’t place top 2

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Realistically, she probably needs to actually win NH to still be in it. There is really no other state more favorable to her aside from MA up any time soon

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Warren is cancelling ad time in NV and SC:

https://twitter.com/Ad_Analytics/status/1224827035706589185

Money wins Super Tuesday. She's pulling ads from Nevada and South Carolina where everybody is focusing and trying to put it towards Super Tuesday where you can sneak in and have a good showing in a state or two.

No, she isn’t going anywhere on ST if she flops in the February states. She probably even loses Massachusetts

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Hopefully Warren does something useful and spanks Pete tonight, but the cynic in me thinks she’ll instead (again) make a horrible political calculation and go after Bernie

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

She has every incentive to drop out before she embarrassses herself Rubio-style by losing Massachusetts on Super Tuesday

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

The more I think about this the more I think she'll drop out after Nevada. She's going to do terrible there, if she can't even get double digits in NH. The 15%/precinct rule is going to shrink her delegate total further and she'll end up with probably no national delegates out of Nevada.

If she stays in after another embarrassing showing in Nevada then that’s a clear indicator she’s much more concerned with landing a consolation trophy for herself as a VP for Bloomberg/Biden/Klobuchar than she is about whatever BS she’s spewing. She’s going to get destroyed in Massachusetts in embarrassing fashion, perhaps bad enough to make Marco Rubio’s Florida loss to Trump look respectable. And she’ll deserve every bit of it.