2020 AZ Senate Megathread: Kelly's Race to Lose

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Welp...

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1217822020848771074

This is smart. I agree with MT Treasurer here. To win, she needs to win more Trump voters (if she'd stayed even with Trump approvals in 2018 she would have won 50-48). Being more Trumpian probably works well for her.

I disagree. There’s a double standard in politics. Trumpianism can work for men, but for women, people will see it as if she’s just being a b1tch.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Welp...

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1217822020848771074

This is smart. I agree with MT Treasurer here. To win, she needs to win more Trump voters (if she'd stayed even with Trump approvals in 2018 she would have won 50-48). Being more Trumpian probably works well for her.

I disagree. There’s a double standard in politics. Trumpianism can work for men, but for women, people will see it as if she’s just being a b1tch.

Lol no , and if your gonna use Palin as an example the reason she flamed out very quickly was due to the fact that she has little to no charisma while Trump does .

No, I didn’t even use Palin as the example. There are plenty of examples everywhere from Hillary Clinton to Meg Whitman to Elizabeth Warren just to name a few. If women get angry their seen as b1tchy whereas when men get angry it’s seen as “authentic”

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Brutal ad.
https://twitter.com/AndrewFeinberg/status/1222288393180237824

I thought the narration was very childish and the focus on her polling was bizarre

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

New article about MAGA Martha / Kelly:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/01/mcsally-2020-arizona-kelly-118247

How long is McSally going to keep calling Kelly, a socialist?

He’s a Democrat so never

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Potentially stupid question, since this is a special election: If/when Mark Kelly wins the election, will he be seated as senator immediately, or does he got sworn in the with the rest of the senators elected on January 3, 2021? Being sworn in earlier would give him seniority over fresh(wo)men senators elected in 2020. It appears to be that some House members get sworn in immediately or within days after a special election that takes place simultaneously with a general election and not on January 3. 

He gets sworn in on January 3, 2021.

This isn’t for a new term. He’d likely get sworn in sometime in late November or early December

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Money printer go brrrrrrr

https://twitter.com/ronaldjhansen/status/1283053657219637256?s=20

I ondwr how many millions he’ll have left over for 2022. That’s going to be the real barn burner.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Money printer go brrrrrrr

https://twitter.com/ronaldjhansen/status/1283053657219637256?s=20

I ondwr how many millions he’ll have left over for 2022. That’s going to be the real barn burner.

Idk, Ducey may not be in a very good position to run based on his Covid repsonse.

Doesn't mean it can't or won't turn into a real race against someone who's currently not a big name, especially in a Democrat midterm.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

McSally raised 9.3 mill but spent 8.5 mil last quarter which is why she essentially has the same COH as she did at the end of last quarter. Kelly who had twice the COH has expanded to having 2x the COH +4mil

I wonder if she's spent a lot on the direct mail fundraising scam that people like Allen West were doing back around 2011-12.

$24 million to $11 million CoH, good Lord. Kelly could (and probably should) keep at least $5 million or so in reserve for 2022 and be fine.