I'm torn and go back and forth.
I voted Kerry, because I do agree that between Bush and Biden, Bush was the stronger candidate in the context of their respective elections. Kerry also got closer in the electoral math.
However, I can see the case for Trump because starting in about June or July 2020, we started to see indications that an electoral route similar to 1980 could be taking place, and that this would be a "change" election. In the end, I don't really think that's what happened. I think Trump held his base and turned them out in very impressive numbers on election day. This led to Trump outperforming most of his polling in Michigan and Wisconsin, and almost winning Pennsylvania again. He was also much stronger in Arizona and Nevada than most were expecting.
All of this happened despite his handling of COVID, a virus which he himself was hospitalized with, after calling it a "democratic hoax" and mocking masks. That's what's impressive about it.
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