Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[roxas11]

Trump's approvals are gonna be right where Bush W's were in 2004, and WI, just like OH will determine the election. These 43 or 42 approvals are a distraction to the real issues of the election and Trump isnt going away and neither is Biden

3.5 percent is relatively low unemployment,  but stagnant wages not keeping up with gas, food and Housing is an issue

the big difference between the 2 is Bush actually spent years expanding his base of support and He pulled off getting 40 percent of the Hispanic vote on election day 2004.

Trump on the other hand has done nothing like that. He has only ever tried to appeal to his base. He now claims he is trying to win over black voters but his effort does not feel genuine at all  

Bush spent years building a relationship with Hispanic voters going all the way back to his time as TX governor. he did not just show up on during election time expecting Hispanics support like trump is currently doing with black voters

[roxas11]

Worth noting that the Fox poll with Trump at a record 48/51 approval has now released their GE matchup numbers:

Biden 49, Trump 40

Also:

The race remains a nine-point advantage for Biden over Trump when looking only at those voters extremely interested in the election (52-43 percent) and the former vice president has an eight-point edge in battleground states (48-40 percent).

However, Biden’s advantage grows to 25 points, 57-32 percent, in close counties (where Hillary Clinton and Trump were within 10 points in 2016).

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-leads-trump-wins-high-marks-for-female-vp-pledge

Sounds like a junk poll. Don't see how it's possible for an incumbent president to be at 48 percent approval and only polling 40 percent in a GE matchup.

They like what he has done so far but are scared of what follows?

It just usually doesn't work like that and certainly not by that big of a margin. Incumbent presidents usually run ahead of their approval ratings which is why 45 percent approval is the generally accepted threshold for reelection.

since when?

I can think of single president in modern history who was below a 50 percent approval rating on election day and went on to be reelected

By time they got to election day polls showed Clinton Bush and Obama with approval ratings that were above or at 50 percent. Both Jimmy carter and George hw bush were both under 50 percent approval on election day and we all know what happened to them.

if trump is at 45 percent on November 2020........he is not getting reelected

[roxas11]

https://mobile.twitter.com/karentravers/status/1246026057838473218

Not surprising 

I have been saying this at the Start when people kept bringing up his rising poll numbers 

I said Trump getting a poll bump will not matter because things were going to get far worse and once that reality becomes clear to the american people he is going to be in big trouble........

[roxas11]

Kaiser Family Foundation, March 25-30, 1226 adults (change from mid-Feb.)

Approve 48 (+6)
Disapprove 49 (-5)

Handling of the coronavirus outbreak: 50/47

Yeah so once again, I don't think Trump's bump has really faded yet.

I disagree

His poll bump has clearly faded and this dated poll simply does not yet capture that

this poll was taken on March 25-30

the massive drops he is seeing now are showing up in polls taken between April 1-2



 

[roxas11]

Biden has just accused or sexually assaulting women again and the Hunter Biden report is due out in Aug, by Congressional Rs and Rob Johnson. Chris Matthew's,  whom was biased towards Biden and the secular press has given Biden a free pass during primaries. The polls are gonna get tighter as they always have and Trump may indeed take a small lead by the his convention

269-269 tie and way back to White House is thru the R delegation in the House

Trump himself has Been accused of sexually assaulting way more women than Biden ever has and Make no mistake if Trump and the GOP decide the go down this road. The Dems will fight fire with fire and Those many woman who have accused trump will have their voices heard during this election

But to be honest if the GOP is going to Make the election about Sexually assaulting women and Hunter Biden while Millions of Americans are right in the middle of a recession and others will still be dealing with the fallout of the coronavirus

The backlash against Both Trump and the GOP will be brutal and If I was Biden I would simply focus
on the economy and Ignore all the other nonsense that most of the American people do not care about at all  

Because I guarantee you when people are suffering and thinking about how they are going to pay their rent.......The GOP Hunter Biden investigation will be the last thing on their minds when they go to the polls this November

[roxas11]

Schools and restuarants will be open by the Fall, except for colleges which are going on line. They are already opening up in the South. Trump's response will improve, by the Fall, that's why Dems are gonna have to go back to issues by then, too. Joe Biden already said he expects this.

So let me get this straight

over 70 or even 80 thousand people may be dead by that point yet somehow you think people are just going to simply forget about all of that because trump response has improved in the fall lol

Without due respect I don't by that BS at all and Make No mistake this will be the Big issue this fall.
trump did himself no favors by attacking Obama over the 17,000 deaths that swine flu caused.

Now trump will most likely be looking at death toll that is far bigger and way more horrific than swine flu ever was by the time this is all over. anybody who does not think that the death toll is not going to big deal in the fall is fooling themselves and all the Improvement in the world from trump wont change that terrible reality. He is most likely going to be hit by millions of dollars worth of attack ads going after him over this.

  

Im sorry but it is ridiculous to believe that Trump or even the Dems are going to go back to talking about issues by then when this virus has killed so many people and the recession that the virus has caused will still very much be impacting all of us in the fall.

[roxas11]

The country is getting ready to open up, Trump approvals are gonna improve

45 thousand people are still dead and we are still in recession
So no trump is not going to improve at all........

if anything his approval going to get a lot worse since the 1000 dollar checks trump has been hyping up wont be nearly enough to help many as this recession drags on over the next few months

I predict there will be A backlash against both trump and the GOP once people really start to feel the pain of this ongoing recession

[roxas11]

The country is getting ready to open up, Trump approvals are gonna improve

45 thousand people are still dead and we are still at the start of a Major Recession
So no trump is not going to improve at all........

if anything his approval going to get a lot worse since the 1000 dollar checks trump has been hyping up wont be nearly enough to help many as this recession drags on over the next few months

I predict there will be A backlash against both trump and the GOP once people really start to feel the pain of this ongoing recession

[roxas11]

The country is getting ready to open up, Trump approvals are gonna improve

45 thousand people are still dead and we are still in recession
So no trump is not going to improve at all........

if anything his approval going to get a lot worse since the 1000 dollar checks trump has been hyping up wont be nearly enough to help many as this recession drags on over the next few months

I predict there will be A backlash against both trump and the GOP once people really start to feel the pain of this ongoing recession

The only thing is that Trunp will remind the voters Dems are gonna raise taxes just like he did against Hilary and the South will go R. Voters like their rebates but cringe when it comes to tax cuts in the South except VA.

The North will still vote for Biden as they are entitlement states

So trump is going to talk about about taxes while Dems spend Millions on attack ads bringing up the fact that He let thousands die for from coronavirus while a recession is wrecking our economy

If attacking Dems on taxes is the best trump can do than Biden will this in A landslide.....
trump Is going have a do a hell of a lot better than Dems will raise Taxes if he going to win reelection

[roxas11]

And he's back to -10 on 538.

yeah it looks like he is collapsing on 538


which bad for him Because at this point Obama was already at 48 and george w bush was just starting to recover from his and he would also start hitting 48 not to long after that

both of them would reach 50 by election day

trump is in dangerous territory here
because every modern president who has failed improve or start break 50 at this point has not been reelected

[roxas11]

Gallup, July 1-23, 1007 adults (1-month change)

Approve 41 (+3)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

ultimately it simply does not matter if trump approval stays in the 30s or goes back to the mid 40s


The reality is being in the low or mid 40s is not going to cut it for him and no modern president with an approval Below 50 percent has ever gone on to win. He needs to be doing a lot better especially since unlike Hillary Biden is over 50 in many polls

remember At this same point Both Bush and Obama were already in the high 40s and there approval ratings was at or over 50 by election day

Come November If trump approval is below 50 on election day...... its game over and Biden is our next president

[roxas11]

Reuters most recent Job Approval for Donald Trump is 38%.

10 days ago, 47% voted for him.

Good to see the polls are still bullsh**t.

Im not sure they are wrong on this

A lot of people who had a personal disliked of Trump still ended up voting for him anyway because they either liked his policies or they disliked the Dems way more   

now that Trump has lost they no longer have a reason to pretend to like him anymore and as a result we may be seeing trumps approval ratings starting to reflect that.