538 Update Thread (user search)
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May 29, 2024, 07:01:05 AM
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Author Topic: 538 Update Thread  (Read 12621 times)
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« on: November 01, 2012, 10:24:06 PM »



Obama - 51%, 332
Romney - 47.5, 206

...and there you have it.  I'm not changing a thing. 

that's what I locked in as my prediction literally 2 mins after the 3rd debate ended.  538 is certainly starting to move towards this map.  Nate has Florida at 55% for Romney and the closest state.  Still think Obama pulls it off. 
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2012, 11:24:59 PM »

New Hampshire and Iowa have joined the 80% club. 



Obama has at least 4:1 odds to win states totaling 281 EVs
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 10:04:09 PM »

Your 90% club (271)



and your 80% club (303)




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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 10:20:03 PM »

AWall, man, if you will have nailed this election as long ago as you started publishing that map of yours, you will have surely earned top-shelf kudos.

I won't say a word until the last state is called, but I do feel like I've had a good grip on this election for quite a while.  We'll see if my confidence is rewarded tomorrow.  
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