Virginia 2009 Megathread (user search)
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  Virginia 2009 Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Virginia 2009 Megathread  (Read 172135 times)
muon2
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« on: November 03, 2009, 07:19:45 PM »
The 67-33 lead is based on precincts from Campbell, Chesterfield, and Mecklenburg counties. All in south central VA.
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muon2
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2009, 07:28:55 PM »
Chesterfield is suburban Richmond and McCain won 53-46. With 36% reporting, McDonnell is winning Chesterfield 66-34.
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muon2
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2009, 07:30:48 PM »
Still no NOVA areas reporting yet.
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muon2
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2009, 07:37:43 PM »
Politico has the first complete county: King and Queen 59-41 for McDonnell. Obama won this county 52-48. This represents a 21 point swing for McDonnell form 2008.
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muon2
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2009, 07:41:34 PM »
Newport News (64-35 Obama) is 53-47 for McDonnell with 13% reporting.
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muon2
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2009, 07:42:23 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 03, 2009, 07:39:55 PM
I'll post some more here soon, but this one is over and it will be double-digits unless there's something unexpected in NoVA.

King & Queen county has a lot of blacks, so I would read too much there.

Does that suggest very low black turnout?
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muon2
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2009, 07:46:46 PM »
Arlington (15% in) is 62-38 Deeds. Alexandria (22% in) is 64-36 Deeds. Obama over 70% in each.
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muon2
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2009, 07:52:14 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 03, 2009, 07:49:12 PM
Folks, with VA, the better comparison is probably Kilgore/Kaine due to the black turnout in 2008.  Not that it looks any prettier for Dems with that model.

In that case the turnaround is greater since Kaine won King and Queen 54-44.
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muon2
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2009, 08:03:43 PM »
McDonnell is still ahead 55-45 in Fairfax Co with 2.6% counted.
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muon2
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2009, 10:57:07 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on November 03, 2009, 10:53:26 PM
McDonnell is won Fairfax City and is clinging to a small lead in Fairfax County. Wow. Crossed 60% in Loudon County too. What a massacre.

Fairfax Co is 100% and is 50.7% for McDonnell.
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