Prince Edward Island provincial election - April 3, 2023

[MaxQue]

A PEI poll was just released by Narrative:

PCs - 49% (up 12% from 2019 election)
Greens - 22% (down 9%)
Liberals - 19% (down 10%)
NDP - 9% (up 6%)

https://narrativeresearch.ca/satisfaction-with-king-government-remains-strong-in-pei/

Given the general history of PEI elections, that's getting into sweeping-the-legislature territory--or, as mentioned, 1-1-1 opposition territory.  (Ah, the government-in-waiting buzz about the Greens last time has *really* faded)

In the 1935 election, the Liberals won all 30 seats.

While only winning 58-42 and despite having a bedridden leader who died months not long after.

[MaxQue]

Stanhope-Marshfield will actually be a PC-NDP duel. No other candidates.

[MaxQue]

The 5 tightest seats right now are the 3 Green ones (Bevan-Baker is back in the lead by 19 votes), then 2 of the 3 Liberal ones.

[MaxQue]

I'm also wondering if there's ever been a major party leader/incoming opposition leader to bomb as badly in his/her individual riding as Sharon Cameron (14.7% for a distant 3rd)

And anyone with half a brain could've predicted that would happen too. Why she decided to run against PBB is beyond me.

I can only think it was for the immediate publicity hit. She doesn't even live in that riding.

She specifically chose to run against Bevan-Baker because she said she thought he was a weak leader of the opposition. So, it also doesn't make sense that she chose to campaign against another opposition party rather than the government.

Since she hasn't stepped down yet, I certainly hope that the PEI Liberals show her the door.

She has now resigned.