🇵🇹 Portugal's politics and elections 2.0

[MaxQue]

RTP pundits say the election results are an "earthquake".

Also, Rui Rio is speaking. Let's see what he says.

Rio is being very, very vague on a possible "rightwing" agreement. He said the left doesn't have a majority and the right yes, however the differences between the right parties are considerable and it's "complicated" and added that the decision is up to the PSD-Azores, even pressured by reporters to give a clear answer.

Why is this so complicated? Haven't been following Portuguese politics for way too long, but why can't PSD simply form a coalition with CDS and CHEGA (okay, don't know anything about the other two)?

CHEGA is PVV-like.

[MaxQue]

Well, that's a pretty clear statement... Not really what I hoped for though. Doesn't seem like it will ever be able to go past Marcelo, no matter what the parliament does, right? Maybe the national referendum on euthanasia really is the only way forward.

Even though the Court ruled the proposed bill as unconstitutional, they opened the door to a future approval. The current bill in fact violates the "inviolability of human life" in the Constitution, however, the Judge President João Caupers, who voted against the bill, also wrote in the ruling: "The right to life cannot be transformed into a duty to live under any circumstances." Meaning that the Court says that Parliament can make a bill that corrects the issues raised by the Court. Now, if Parliament can make that kind of bill is a whole other question.

Any way for the government to add more judges/fire the ones who care more than their Catholic faith than doing their jobs?

[MaxQue]

It seems the old election archive of the CNE finally stopped working (or it may have months ago). Wierd that their website still links to it.

[MaxQue]

That poll, wow. Rangel really failed to read the room.

its not very clear what the results will look like...
i would prefer Rui Rio but it seems like Paulo Rangel has some hard support from high PSD figures and regional leaders.
These people control a lot of voters and preferences soo its still a bit to soon to make assumptions.
And these last polls have been called as very strange because the best result for the PSD in some years is right now when the party is in a battle LMFAO

What's weird about this leadership election is that polls show that Rangel isn't wanted by the electorate, while he has gained massive support in the party's structures. The PSD campaign has been somewhat calm, nothing compared with previous leadership ballots were things got nasty, but, like I wrote in my post earlier, I feel that the electorate likes Rio's "stability strategy" and are willing to support the PSD because of this. Rangel has been very vague and there's nothing really concrete from his campaign in order for the electorate to connect with him.

Looking at past elections, PSD electorate polls normally predict the winner of the PSD membership ballots, and the only exception seems to be the 2007 Menezes vs Marques Mendes race which resulted in a surprise win for Menezes, completely out of the blue. Of course, Menezes leadership was quite ephemeral, only 8 months or so.

If Rangel won and the poll happens to be right, would he be kicked out quickly?

[MaxQue]

Well, it's over. The campaign is now officially closed.

Saturday is reflection day, where polling, political news and campaigning is forbidden.

Does that mean that if Ukraine is invaded or Macron die, they cannot report it until Sunday?