2018 New Brunswick election

[MaxQue]

People's Alliance is doing very well. Wonder why the breakthrough this time...

Trump's election empowered bigots.

[MaxQue]

And remember: unlike the BCNDP, the NB PCs are *significantly* behind the Libs in vote totals, as opposed to seat totals.

One thing that eternally puzzles me about the NB NDP is why they've never had Acadian leadership or pursued anything other than a too-backhanded-for-its-own-good Acadian strategy--I mean, the federal Yvon Godin legacy together with the constituencies where they actually have shown provincial ballast (including in the present election) suggest that they could be making hay that way; but, no...

Had Godin become leader years ago, think of how different things would've been...

Roger Duguay?

Aw, jeez, forgot about him.  (Then again, his tenure was kind of "forgettable".  Maybe he should have been more Bathurst-based, or something...)

He's running for the NDP-Q, having move to Quebec City to live with his boyfriend (he also discovered he is gay).

[MaxQue]

Gallant recalling legislature on October 23rd so should be interesting.  Unless either the PCs or People's Alliance puts up a speaker, I cannot see him getting a throne speech through.  While that would mean Blaine Higgs becomes premier, I would be shocked if the current arrangement allows the government to last more than a year.  Off course if the Liberal or Green speaker stays on after Higgs becomes premier, then it might be possible to last longer, shades of BC since had the NDP not managed to get Darryl Plecas as speaker I think they would have had a much tougher time staying on as long as they have.

It's also possible the Liberals and the Greens fail to put a Speaker too, which would likely lead to new elections due to failure to elect a Speaker.

[MaxQue]

Um, how did this not happen in 2003? Very similar scenario. The PCs without the speaker had the same amount of seats as the Liberals+NDP.

PCs were incumbents, so they could keep confidence with the casting vote, which the Liberals cannot do now (as Lib+Grn-1 is smaller than PC+PA).

Also, the incumbent Speaker was still around and just ran again.