AL-SEN 2017: Moore +16 in primary (user search)
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  AL-SEN 2017: Moore +16 in primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: AL-SEN 2017: Moore +16 in primary  (Read 2939 times)
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« on: June 08, 2017, 03:56:31 PM »

^Yeah, there are also Gardner and Collins, but (a) I expect Heller and Gardner to lose reelection, (b) Collins was always an exception to the rule, plus Maine isn't really that Democratic and (c) Heller's election was a fluke because Shelley Berkley was a godawful candidate. Even Gardner only won by less than 2 in a perfect storm for Republicans. It's much more difficult for a Republican (regardless of how moderate they are) to win a Senate race in a Democratic-leaning state than it is for a Republican to do the same in a reddish state, which is why the Republican advantage in the Senate only exists on paper.

If Jason Kander were a Republican and running against... say... Patty Murray, he'd lose by 15 points despite being a good candidate.

What does any of that have to do with Alabama?
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,748
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW
« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2017, 02:25:37 PM »

^It has a lot to do with my point that polarization isn't as strong in Republican states as it is in Democratic states (which is what we were talking about here), though Alabama is obviously one of the most polarized and Republican GOP states. Not that hard to figure out.

Is there another state that is more polarized and static on partisanship than Alabama?  I can't think of any.  What North Dakota is up to doesn't make a difference here.
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