% chance obama wins the following 'battleground' states? (user search)
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  % chance obama wins the following 'battleground' states? (search mode)
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Author Topic: % chance obama wins the following 'battleground' states?  (Read 4697 times)
TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« on: October 22, 2008, 06:46:15 PM »

Gut numbers.

new hampshire 60%
pennsylvania 60%
virginia 45%
north carolina 30%
georgia 1%
florida 40%
west va. 5%
ohio 40%
michigan 65%
missouri 50%
indiana 30%
north dakota 30%
new mexico 50%
colorado 50%
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2008, 10:28:51 PM »

[I'll just start by saying Obama has a less than 10% chance of taking states like North Dakota, West Virginia, and Georgia.

Watch out for Georgia! Early voting has been going on for over a month (since 9/22) and he is leading among early voters according to the polls. Blacks are 35.5% of the early vote! Georgia is going to be extremely close on November 4th.

Georgia is not going to be "close" by any reasonable definition of the word.
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