Miami–Dade County, Florida…and what else?

[Alben Barkley]

The only one I can see flipping is Harris County in Texas if it's a really good night to the GOP.
I guess Orange County, CA might count but that's about it.

Orange County ain't really what it used to be. Maybe if the Republican is SUPER popular but that's about it....

The trends aren't actually bad for Republicans in Orange County.  It trended Republican in 2020 and then flipped in just about every race in 2022.  It's a very plausible pickup for a Republican winning nationwide in 2024.

Slightly more realistic than Harris County, TX I guess. But I can't imagine under-40s not turning out enough for the R nominee to win outright there.

I wouldn't bet on the R nominee carrying Miami-Dade in 2024. But I'm more confident of that than I am with any other county mentioned in this thread.

Miami Dade is most likely to vote R in 2024 but .. as I explained before.. I am in a wait and see mode

Orange County, CA could.. but again wait and see mode. And far less likely.

But why is it so popular with the online right to say a random suburban county that voted for the GOP will vote at Bush level margins gop in 2024 if Trump is not the nominee?

I am told these people do not exist, but they are all over right wing blogs and twitter.

https://twitter.com/NikkiHaleyFan02/status/1554277609021882370

example here.

but maybe they are right. 2016 produced a lot of unexpected results based on direction of party, demographic change, and candidates.

LOL no, no they are not. Not "maybe," not at all. They're f--king ignorant clueless fools.

I do wonder if that "Nikki Haley Fan" account might be a troll though. Because it's hard to believe that anybody could both be THAT delusional and THAT big a fan of Nikki Haley. I'm not sure she really has any fans at all.