2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Alben Barkley]

Is there any way to ignore the result of this election? Can Trump somehow overturn this election?

LOL copium.

Ah this takes me back to when Bevin lost despite Trump defacing Rupp Arena with his presence the night before and screeching about how people would call him the biggest loser in history if Bevin lost.

He was and is the biggest loser in history.

Cope harder, MAGAtards.

[Alben Barkley]

Seems pretty clear that BigSerg is being consistently ironic throughout this thread. Am I wrong, or are others just not getting it?

Maybe he is but the "ironic" stances he is taking definitely reflect a LOT of MAGA twitter I'm seeing and based on his past, I frankly ain't inclined to give him the benefit of the doubt. Either way, lots of copium to go around tonight! I honestly expected Cawthorn and Oz to win. This is a blow to MAGA world, no two ways around it.

[Alben Barkley]

Ws this evening:

- Fettersweep
- Summer Lee looks to be in a good position
- Jamie McLeod-Skinner preparing to send Schrader to a farm upstate
- Crypto guy BTFOd
- Cawthorn taken out by the deep state
- Mastriano

TBD:

- PA-SEN GOP primary, although I'm at least glad it's in recount territory

How many times will it take before they learn?

The Deep State always, ALWAYS wins!

ALWAYS!

Even if we feel amused enough to let you pretend you won for a minute, it won't last for long if we get mad and stop f--king around in a situation such as Russia-Ukraine right now.

There is literally no beating the Deep State. Trump himself barely did anything in the end to actually combat the Deep State, despite all the sound and fury.

Candidates ostensibly "opposing" the Deep State are either plants or will be destroyed before they ever have a chance to sniff power.

You can't win, it's pointless to keep fighting!

[Alben Barkley]

BUCKS 100% REPORTING PUTS OZ IN THE LEAD, WOW!

Per Bucks website (same vote totals as elsewhere), there are still a large portion of precincts out. I think the 100% reporting may be premature.

Either way, probably recount territory.

[Alben Barkley]

Predictions:

AZ R Gov: Lake
AZ D Gov: Hobbs
AZ R Sen: Masters

KS Abortion Amendment: No

MI R Gov: Dixon
MI-11 D: Stevens

MO R Sen: Schmitt
MO D Sen: Valentine

WA Sen: Murray and Smiley

And honestly I’m pretty certain about all of these except the KS abortion amendment and to a lesser extent the AZ and MO R primaries.

[Alben Barkley]

I noticed in Missouri’s 4th Jack Truman is running, is he relayed to Harry Truman at all?

If it’s the same guy (same picture and birth place as his Ballotpedia page and local news articles) I found his IMDb page which claims he is Harry Truman’s great-nephew:

https://www.imdb.com/name/nm0874289/trivia

Apparently he has produced some documentaries about strippers.

https://abc17news.com/politics/missouri-politics/2022/05/18/barton-county-resident-jack-truman-announces-run-for-missouris-4th-congressional-district/

https://ballotpedia.org/Jack_Truman

[Alben Barkley]

First results in for the night I see, from Lincoln County, MO. Schmitt leads Greitens.

But knowing even 134 people actually voted for Greitens disgusts me. That man I think is worse than Trump.

[Alben Barkley]

Early Jackson County results in, now both Schmitt and Hartzler lead Greitens.

[Alben Barkley]

Is anyone following the Kansas abortion referendum?

No results yet that I see.

[Alben Barkley]

NVM no up 70%-30%

STOP THE COUNT!!!

[Alben Barkley]

Dixon up big in with 3% reporting in MI.

[Alben Barkley]

NVM no up 70%-30%

STOP THE COUNT!!!

No is outpacing the Democratic share of the vote (55%) by quite a bit.

I wonder if there's an early vote / election day vote difference in Kansas.

Early results appear to be just Shawnee County (Topeka), but still a good sign if No is outrunning the Democratic ballot advantage by that much.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554623985538764801

I missed this feeling.

[Alben Barkley]

Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

I'm seeing Stevens +17 with 41% in?

[Alben Barkley]

Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

Their vote shares just switched on NYT? Not sure what happened there

Probably a computer/entry error.

I've seen enough: Stevens wins this one.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554623985538764801

Dixon for Governor !

So far I’m 1 for 1 in primary endorsements

Well, she went to the University of Kentucky according to Ballotpedia, so if a Republican HAS to win I guess...

She was the least clowniest of those candidates though, seriously. Which is good if, again, a Republican HAS to win. But that whole field was a clown car of the highest order, and I still think Whitmer is favored against her.

[Alben Barkley]

No now up 73.4%-26.6%

Big vote share from Riley County just dropped. Question is whether "Yes" can overcome this when the more rural/Western parts of the state start reporting.

[Alben Barkley]

Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

Their vote shares just switched on NYT? Not sure what happened there

Probably a computer/entry error.

I've seen enough: Stevens wins this one.

TBH, that margin doesn't seem insurmountable if they counted earlies/mail-ins first. If not, though, yeah, I'm ready to call it.

Is there any reason to think Levin would benefit if they did? I don't recall progressive candidates doing better on same day votes than "moderate" Democrats in the 2020 or subsequent primaries compared to mail-in/early. My memory could be wrong on that though.

[Alben Barkley]

Wasserman just called MI-11 for Stevens

Sweet, guess I'm Dave before Dave now!

[Alben Barkley]

Wasserman just called MI-11 for Stevens

Yuck.

I donated to her lol, guess it paid off!

[Alben Barkley]

Nate Silver seems almost ready to call it for "No!"

Other sources have results from a half dozen counties, Sarah, and I don’t think there’s any intrinsic reason why you couldn’t extrapolate from one county. Like in 2024, if early results suggest that the Democratic nominee is losing in Brooklyn (Kings County) we can be pretty sure they’re losing the election.

[Alben Barkley]

If this holds, and "No" wins by a significant margin in KANSAS, well I think maybe Trump was on to something when he said maybe overturning Roe v. Wade would be electorally bad for Republicans...

[Alben Barkley]

LOL Kobach is only up by 3%

LOL.

Is it too early for me to start celebrating and pulling out the Trump loses 2020 memes again?

Oh well, I'm doing it anyway. I missed that hopium!

[Alben Barkley]

Kansas is conveniently centrally located so it works well as a safe haven for women seeking abortions in much of middle America.

[Alben Barkley]

Wasserman is basically saying "No" is leading but can't call it yet:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554630344409862146?s=20&t=ayr2j1nXL2l...

He also just called MO for Schmitt:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554631156359897089?s=20&t=rLBEvWblAiC...
Guess ERIC wins after all!