Louisiana as a future swing state? (user search)
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  Louisiana as a future swing state? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Louisiana as a future swing state?  (Read 2605 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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« on: December 11, 2020, 01:14:58 PM »

Am I crazy to think that maybe Louisiana has a better chance of becoming a swingy Southern state before stubbornly inelastic states like South Carolina and Mississippi?

Seems like the GOP potentially has a lot of room to fall in populous parishes like East Baton Rouge, Jefferson, and Caddo.

I'm not saying this is something that's gonna happen overnight or really any time soon, but is there even a chance it happens before those other states at least?
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,284
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2020, 09:02:17 PM »

I think you guys really underestimate how hard of a floor there might be with Southern suburbanites.  All they're doing is reverting to the "norm" of America and becoming more of a swing demographic like their Northern counterparts.  Even if the GOP literally moves to the left of Josh Hawley on economics and becomes this "working class" party, you're still going to have a VERY high percent of Evangelical voters in these suburbs who are simply Republicans first AND educated suburbanites.

Younger generations are less religious though, which is why I think that floor might collapse in the future. Not necessarily within the next 10-15 years, but 20+? Maybe...
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