Isn't Beshear pretty popular, even among Republicans? I could see him pulling off a JBE style win
Yes. People writing him off are being ridiculous. Trump won KY by more in 2016, personally came here to endorse Bevin and plead with his voters... and still Beshear won. And Bevin is not comparable to Moore, nor are Alabama senate races (especially in presidential years) comparable to Kentucky gubernatorial races (especially in off-years).
It’s certainly possible Beshear loses, but as of now I’d say he’s at least slightly favored simply because he’s a very popular incumbent. Plus I have no idea who the GOP will run against him. I’ve heard rumors of Savannah Maddox, who is basically a younger, female Bevin — she is in the same group of Northern Kentucky
lunatics “libertarians” with him and Massie. It’s not that popular a brand of politics statewide. Especially in Eastern Kentucky coal country, in fact.
And as for Elliot County specifically, again we saw that heavy support for Trump does not necessarily translate to support for another Republican gubernatorial candidate three years later. Even one as Trumpy as Bevin who tied himself to Trump as closely as possible and got returned the favor.
