CNN: Biden +4 in FL, +10 in PA

[Alben Barkley]

Once again, the higher quality polls have Biden with a clear lead in PA, high single to low double digits. Hopefully this will stop the freak out over the lower tier polls with him “only” up like 4 points at 49/50.

LOL, who am I kidding?

[Alben Barkley]

Among registered voters, it is Biden 50-45 in PA and 48-46 in FL.

There is more evidence that the huge disparity in early voting is starting to skew LV models in some polls. The NBC decision to only go by RV is starting to look like the better way to go this time around.

But if you’ve already voted, you’re not just a likely voter, you’re a DEFINITE voter. It would make no sense not to account for that.