FL-Gravis (non-OANN): Biden +10 (user search)
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  FL-Gravis (non-OANN): Biden +10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Gravis (non-OANN): Biden +10  (Read 2676 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

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« on: July 16, 2020, 11:59:51 AM »

Trash this poll... FL hasn't been +10 for ANY presidential candidate in 32 years.

Don't trash it.  If Biden is ahead by 6-7 points in the state, as both the 538 and RCP averages have at present, an occasional +10 or so (and some correspondingly lower ones) are to be expected.

I'd abide by the law of averages if +5 wasn't rare either. I think the actual truth is FL is tilt Trump/tossup but by less than 50,000 votes. This is going to sound batsh**t crazy but I'd give anything for more OANN polls just so I can gauge the true depth. of the state's conservative counterweight. Low single digit leads blatantly sampled in Trump territory will tell us everything we need to know because +10 amongst heavy Dem areas should be expected

You’re right, that is pretty bats—t crazy.

Anyone still saying FL is tilt Trump at this point is straight-up delusional. And that’s not how polling works.
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