FL-Gravis (non-OANN): Biden +10
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  FL-Gravis (non-OANN): Biden +10		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: FL-Gravis (non-OANN): Biden +10  (Read 2567 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: July 14, 2020, 09:34:32 AM »
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YE
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2020, 09:39:41 AM »
Gravis does this every now and then. See latest MN poll.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2020, 09:39:49 AM »
LMAO!
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pppolitics
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2020, 09:40:21 AM »
https://www.scribd.com/document/469124461/Florida-July-13-2020

Biden 53%
Trump 43%
Uncertain 4%
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2020, 09:40:23 AM »
513 likely voters
MoE: 4.3%
July 13, 2020
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2020, 09:41:31 AM »
I mean, Biden has been posting impressive leads in Florida... so it's not too out of line. It's still Gravis though.
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BobbieMac
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« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2020, 09:46:10 AM »
That's Biden +13 nationally on UNS.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2020, 09:51:23 AM »
Choose your reality:
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2020, 09:53:53 AM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on July 14, 2020, 09:51:23 AM
Choose your reality:



They also had a 50/50 Florida poll for OANN which Silver isn't including because of OANN's deceptive use of the undecided topline numbers.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2020, 09:54:26 AM »
« Edited: July 14, 2020, 10:00:54 AM by Gass3268 »
Looks like Gravis is cooking the books for OANN.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #10 on: July 14, 2020, 09:56:44 AM »
Not surprising:

Gravis is young and needs the OANN money, so they are bending over.

Then they produce their own polls which have more in common with reality.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: July 14, 2020, 09:56:49 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 14, 2020, 09:54:26 AM
Looks like Gravis is cooking the goos for OANN.

Or OANN is only publicly releasing the surveys with favourable numbers for Trump, meaning their Gravis polls are effectively Republican internals.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #12 on: July 14, 2020, 10:12:18 AM »
In before OANN reweighting.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: July 14, 2020, 10:19:34 AM »
I mean, Gravis is still trash but at least this is in line with what we've seen with other polls (many with Biden 5-10 lead)

Their MN poll wasn't entirely bunk, either though. Who knows if Biden was up 16, but it was taken not long after the Floyd incident and MN could be even more anti-Trump now after the whole situation.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: July 14, 2020, 10:39:33 AM »
Trump is done since his own poll has him behind in FL
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #15 on: July 14, 2020, 10:53:31 AM »
Public Service Announcement:
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Skye
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« Reply #16 on: July 14, 2020, 10:54:37 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on July 14, 2020, 10:53:31 AM
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I hope the 'cut it out' thing means they stop conducting polls on behalf of OANN.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #17 on: July 14, 2020, 10:59:10 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on July 14, 2020, 10:53:31 AM
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I wonder if this is how Trump plays golf.

Mulligan...
Mulligan...
Mulligan...
Mulligan...
MIDDLE OF THE FAIRWAY!
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #18 on: July 14, 2020, 11:00:47 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 14, 2020, 09:54:26 AM
Looks like Gravis is cooking the books for OANN.

Yup, probably they just shift 5 points or whatever is needed to show Trump ahead. Trailing by 10 in FL is hilarious, even if this is an outlier. Wouldn't put a ton of stock in Gravis anyway.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #19 on: July 14, 2020, 11:02:21 AM »

Even if the election happened tomorrow, Biden ain't winning Florida by 10 points. That would indicate a 55% to 41% national popular landslide. Which ain't happening.

(Bookmarking in case it does happen Wink )
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #20 on: July 14, 2020, 11:13:36 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on July 14, 2020, 10:53:31 AM
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Called it!  Smile
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #21 on: July 14, 2020, 11:24:08 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on July 14, 2020, 10:53:31 AM
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Sounds about right.
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Rand
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« Reply #22 on: July 14, 2020, 11:47:01 AM »
Quote from: darthpi on July 14, 2020, 11:24:08 AM
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on July 14, 2020, 10:53:31 AM
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Sounds about right.

Trump should take a look through Johari’s Window.
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Pollster
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« Reply #23 on: July 14, 2020, 11:55:02 AM »
This poll has Biden winning white voters but Trump winning Hispanic/Latinx.

This sample also voted for Clinton by two points in 2016.
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iammucow
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« Reply #24 on: July 14, 2020, 12:58:28 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on July 14, 2020, 11:55:02 AM
This poll has Biden winning white voters but Trump winning Hispanic/Latinx.

This sample also voted for Clinton by two points in 2016.

It has Trump winning 19% of African-Americans, that's the highest percentage of African-Americans voting Republican I think I've ever seen.
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