Well, speaking as someone who really didn't think it was possible for Beshear to win, I'll eat some humble pie. I was desd wrong about this race, and I'm thrilled that (it looks like) Kentucky gave Bevin the boot. People can quote my old posts and laugh at them to their heart's content. I deserve it. Congrats to the people who predicted Beshear would win, and I'll remember this when making predictions in the future.
It just goes to show, like I’ve been trying to say ever since I signed up for this site specifically to respond to the “Bevin is inevitable” circlejerk: You can talk about national trends and partisan leans and crap all day from afar, but it doesn’t mean s—t unless you take into account unique factors relating to individual states. In this case, two MAJOR factors that led me to predict a Beshear win were the fact that Kentucky has a huge discrepancy between how it votes in national and state elections (especially governor) and Bevin was VERY unpopular. Things I knew particularly well being born and raised in this state. The number of people who just ignored these critical factors and predicted landslides for Bevin, as if you could just treat him as a substitute for Trump and apply 2016 trends, was staggering. Elections don’t take place in a vacuum!
