Hear me now, quote me later, if Wisconsin has Trump leading, then Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania are not that different. This poll may be an outlier and has some weird numbers, but Wisconsin is not an outlier in that group of states.
Latest CIVIQS data has Trump
-17 in Minnesota
-10 in Michigan
-7 in Pennsylvania
-2 in Wisconsin
I could see Wisconsin voting further to the right of the other three states, even in comparison to 2016. Remember that the Twin Cities is 55% of Minnesota and then Rochester/Duluth are another 10% whereas Milwaukee/Madison combined are 48%. And the Milwaukee suburbs, regardless of trend, are still far more Republican than Minneapolis/St. Paul, Detroit, and Philadelphia
