wait, is CA going to SWING R?

[Sbane]

Illinois and New York are not done counting. New York has over a million uncounted ballots that will help Biden a lot.

Regarding California and Hawaii, Hillary probably maxed out support (percentage wise)

Biden's currently at 63.8% of the vote, which is over 2% more than Hillary. The D candidate's percentage of the popular vote has increased every election since 1992. It's just that 45's also doing a little under 3% better than he did last time, so California will swing R by around 0.3% or 0.4% when all the votes are counted.

But yeah, the sharp R swings in Santa Clara and Los Angeles are a bit ominous for the Ds, as are the R rebounds in SoCal House races.

Yeah, that was a bit weird, but maybe it had something to do with the Asian swing towards Trump? I have cousins who live there, and I swear 90% of their town is Indian or Chinese. Trump isn't exactly beloved among tech types.

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/CA/Santa_Clara/106043/web.264614/#/summary

The precinct results don't really show us the swings here but I would assume that is what happened. If I had to guess the east side of the county swung to Trump while the west side swung to Biden. Places like Milpitas (lots of Filipinos in addition to Indians and Chinese) would be ground zero for a swing towards Trump. Wealthier but also predominantly Asian places like Cupertino or Sunnyvale will show less of a swing to Trump or maybe they swung to Biden. We shall wait to see if I am right.

[Sbane]

Illinois and New York are not done counting. New York has over a million uncounted ballots that will help Biden a lot.

Regarding California and Hawaii, Hillary probably maxed out support (percentage wise)

Biden's currently at 63.8% of the vote, which is over 2% more than Hillary. The D candidate's percentage of the popular vote has increased every election since 1992. It's just that 45's also doing a little under 3% better than he did last time, so California will swing R by around 0.3% or 0.4% when all the votes are counted.

But yeah, the sharp R swings in Santa Clara and Los Angeles are a bit ominous for the Ds, as are the R rebounds in SoCal House races.

Yeah, that was a bit weird, but maybe it had something to do with the Asian swing towards Trump? I have cousins who live there, and I swear 90% of their town is Indian or Chinese. Trump isn't exactly beloved among tech types.

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/CA/Santa_Clara/106043/web.264614/#/summary

The precinct results don't really show us the swings here but I would assume that is what happened. If I had to guess the east side of the county swung to Trump while the west side swung to Biden. Places like Milpitas (lots of Filipinos in addition to Indians and Chinese) would be ground zero for a swing towards Trump. Wealthier but also predominantly Asian places like Cupertino or Sunnyvale will show less of a swing to Trump or maybe they swung to Biden. We shall wait to see if I am right.

Milipitas looks like it was around high 60s for Biden, low 30s for Turmp. Which is coincidentally around the same margin the overall Asian vote went for Biden by (Milipitas is at least 60% AAPI). It looks like Biden won 70-75% of the vote in Cupertino and Santa Clara.

The most R urban precincts were within San Jose, just outside the 680 loop and just west of 101, directly south of the Japanese Memorial Garden and Little Saigon. Biden got 50-60% of the vote in those precincts.

The 2010 Census race map of Santa Clara County makes it look like most of the Asian population in San Jose proper is concentrated east of 101. Those Asian-dominant and Asian-Latino mixed precincts are all at least 60% Biden.

Trump lost 73-21% in Milpitas last time, so possibly a double digit swing towards him there. While at the same time Biden is cracking 80% in Mountain View and Palo Alto. 93% at Stanford lol.