Texas-PPP: Biden +2 (user search)
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  Texas-PPP: Biden +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Texas-PPP: Biden +2  (Read 2240 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: July 02, 2020, 10:56:19 AM »
Biden will get 48% of the vote. Looks about right though Trump will likely pull ahead in the end.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2020, 11:21:26 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 02, 2020, 09:22:12 AM
Interesting that PPP finds Biden +2 in TX and +4 in GA but only +6 in MI.

Why is this so surprising? Georgia and Michigan were only off by about 5 points in 2016. Texas and Michigan were off by about 9. Only small trends are required for the result above.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2020, 11:22:21 AM »
Quote from: BobbieMac on July 02, 2020, 11:00:33 AM
Consistent with around a Biden +13 nationally on UNS, and consistent with Colorado +17 (PPP had Michigan +6, whereas on UNS you would expect +11)

Texas flips if Biden can win by about 8-9 in the PV.
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