Florida is not "Lean R" *right now*. There hasn't been a poll there with Trump in the lead since the beginning of March. To claim its anything besides a tossup is just delusional.
I’m not basing it off right now, I’m basing it off what is most likely to occur on 11/3. On 11/3 Florida will be a Lean R state.
Always best to stick to data and facts. For example, this poll has Biden only receiving 50% of the vote in both states. You can argue all the undecideds will be going to Trump and if turnout is low among Democrats, Trump could possibly win. Unlikely at this point but crazier things have happened.