I have name recognition and above-50% approval ratings (but probably not a lot higher than 50%), so I would... probably win?
You'll certainly get all the right wing votes just by being a yellow avatar versus a burgundy avatar, and also you're more likely to pick up swing voters IMO.
So... final answer : I would beat you, but it would be a close race.
If you're talking about USA adults voting for POTUS, you would probably beat me, seeing as you aren't a right wing Trumpist but you also aren't an anti-establishment leftist like myself.
Where did you get the name recognition and approval ratings?
If you can successfully weaponize all the crazy things I have said in the past and get voters to fear me…you win. Hitting hard on my old views is probably the easy way for you to win. Portray me as simply too unstable for the job, basically Biden’s 2020 path.
However if current policy matters more and the past wounds aren’t enough, I would take it because I am probably still closer to the average American than you politically as weird as it seems.
You’ll probably overperform among liberal whites, rural conservatives and young voters. I would overperform with minorities of all types, the heavily religious, and certain suburbs (it will depend)
I think I could likely siphon some of the religious votes, but mostly the Christain side of that.
You, due to being a natural born US citizen
Hey, I'll take it as a win.
Disagree. You’d be far better off trying to appeal strongly to the irreligious/less devout assuming you are truly libertarian.
Sure you will want to make sure you do well enough among the devout, but don’t expect that to be your top overperformance.