Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?)

[RJEvans]

Nebraska looks good so far as per ground reports, heard from many districts, Bernie winning 2/1 in many, some roughly same - It could change as voting has not started in caucus.

So far Nebraska looks positive & could give a win!

If voting hasn't started how do you know Bernie is winning 2 to 1? You've developed reputation around here for making up data.

Anyway, I fully expect Bernie to win KS and NE by 20-30+ points. LA goes for Clinton by 40 points.

[RJEvans]

Clinton is sweeping the absentee ballot in many Nebraska by a wide margin, so the difference even if Bernie wins is likely to be VERY narrow.

I think older people maybe tend to send more absentee ballots! This is good for her

You can vote absentee in a caucus?

Yup - I am very surprised. Apparently a huge chunk is absentee & Clinton swept those by a huge margin.

Many districts with Big Bernie wins turned out to be much smaller wins with 52-55% odd for Bernie. I don't think this touches 60% for Bernie, if he wins it will be low 50's or mid's. But then only a few districts have voted, so who knows!

You have to have sources! Frankly, I think you're lying given your past. I'll apologize if you have provide sources.

And yes, you can vote absentee in the NE Democratic caucus according to this.

http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/democrats-can-vote-in-nebraska-caucuses-via-absentee-ballot/article_f593d4f5-d0ac-5798-846e-af4b7c5ac0eb.html

[RJEvans]

Clinton is sweeping the absentee ballot in many Nebraska by a wide margin, so the difference even if Bernie wins is likely to be VERY narrow.

I think older people maybe tend to send more absentee ballots! This is good for her

You can vote absentee in a caucus?

Yup - I am very surprised. Apparently a huge chunk is absentee & Clinton swept those by a huge margin.

Many districts with Big Bernie wins turned out to be much smaller wins with 52-55% odd for Bernie. I don't think this touches 60% for Bernie, if he wins it will be low 50's or mid's. But then only a few districts have voted, so who knows!

You have to have sources! Frankly, I think you're lying given your past. I'll apologize if you have provide sources.

And yes, you can vote absentee in the NE Democratic caucus according to this.

http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/democrats-can-vote-in-nebraska-caucuses-via-absentee-ballot/article_f593d4f5-d0ac-5798-846e-af4b7c5ac0eb.html

My past? I don't lie & don't make statements like that! I clearly said I was writing as per Ground Reports, if you are that dumb to not understand that & make such accusations, then you have a problem - I am not gonna sit down & take this BS

I'm not going to litigate your credibility here. It's already in the gutter.

If you're basing your information on ground reports I'll like to know where? Omaha, Lincoln, Fremont, Hastings? Who is giving you this information, because I take it you can't be in every city at a given moment. Links to absentee results will be helpful. But I haven't found any.

I have no information about NE or KS, but given Obama's results in '08 and Bernie's results in CO and MN, I fully expect a 20-30 point victory for Bernie here. Can it be closer? Possibly. The demographics heavily favor Bernie but Hillary Clinton has not entirely given up on these states. I imagine they will be closer than Obama's blowout victories in '08.

[RJEvans]

Yeah, I found some people on twitter confirming what Shadows is saying.
https://twitter.com/politics4667/status/706166222241533952

That's all I wanted. A second source. I don't understand why people have to resort to name calling and vitriol. I even said I'll apologize if he can give me links.

Let's move on. We're getting numbers. Let's see how this race pans out. Looking good for Bernie but the gap looks mightily close.

[RJEvans]

I'd like to extend an apology to Shadows for thinking he was lying, but an admonition that, even though he wasn't, he was still acting like a dick.

I will like to apologize too, however, in my defense, he has not always expressed neutrality or rationality and I think his behavior after my quick judgement is further proof of that. Perhaps more civility would have rendered my comments more accepting of his conclusions.

[RJEvans]

Excellent results for Bernie in KS. Did better than I expected delegate wise. However NE hurts and LA is just a trounce. Looks like Clinton wins the night in terms of delegates. Clinton can lose ME 30/70, tie MI 50/50 and win MS 70/30 and still come out ahead with delegates from these six races.