Nevada Primary/Caucus (Feb. 6/8) Megathread (user search)
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  Nevada Primary/Caucus (Feb. 6/8) Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nevada Primary/Caucus (Feb. 6/8) Megathread  (Read 5222 times)
The Mikado
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« on: February 03, 2024, 11:52:06 PM »

After Biden hit 96% against Williamson and Phillips in South Carolina with all votes counted, what percent do we think he gets in Nevada against just Williamson? Maybe it's just vibes but Nevada feels like it might be more into fringe figures and/or more prone to a protest vote based off the middle east situation. I can't imagine labor really organized or gave a crap about this.

Any guesses? My guess is 91%. Would you all take the over or under on it?

Under. Williamson will be a non-factor at like 3-4% but Nevada also has None of These Candidates on the ballot and I think None of These Candidates is a far more formidable opponent for Biden than any named opponent he has.

Something like:
Biden 87
None of These Candidates 10
Williamson/Other 3

Seems reasonable. (There's like 10 randos on the ballot too but should be a total nonfactor)
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The Mikado
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« Reply #1 on: February 06, 2024, 11:41:25 PM »

There are multiple maps where NV is the decisive General Election state.

...

I REALLY hope it isn't.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #2 on: February 06, 2024, 11:57:59 PM »

Haley down to 33%, NOTC over 60% after new drop

Could people post what counties come in as they do, please?
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