Tell me again how Biden is gonna do worse than Beto?
We've gotten more Texas polls within the MoE than outside this year. The only thing preventing folks from thinking Texas will be one of the closest states is preconceived notions that apparently don't require explanation.
"It's just not ready and it won't flip. It just won't"
If 40+ polls showing that a state where Republicans do not tend to underpoll is highly competitive (and has been highly competitive since way before the pandemic) aren’t going to convince people that it’s actually competitive, well, nothing will.
Even if Biden wins the state, people will just say: “Its a fluke!” “IN-2008 Redux” “ 2020 was a D+8 year” “ The suburbs will go back to the GOP post Trump!”
I mean, if Biden wins nationally by 8 and wins TX by 0.5, I'd expect the GOP to be able to carry Texas by a healthy (if not wide) margin in 2024 if the race is at all close nationally.
