The Mikado
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« on: May 27, 2020, 04:45:56 PM » |
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GA's Lean R, but no worse than that. It's 100% winnable in 2020.
TX is only "in play" in landslide conditions, which may manifest at some point but aren't here yet. I don't think it does any harm for Biden to say "I'm contesting Texas." It's a strong, ballsy statement which will drive Republicans crazy. Actually campaigning here would be kind of silly, but Biden's not campaigning anywhere so that evens the playing field a lot.
I both don't think TX is going Dem in 2020 and don't think it does any harm for Biden to say he's contesting it as long as he doesn't divert any serious resources there. After all, Biden says he's contesting Ohio, which IMO is way more absurd than Texas.
I do think Texas swings hard Dem. Trump probably wins it by 3-5, and even Trump winning it by 5 would leave a bunch of the swing house seats here underwater for the GOP.
Anyway, AZ is obviously a top tier swing state. GA definitely CAN go Dem and will be close no matter what. TX is a huge stretch but I don't think there's anything wrong with Biden SAYING he's targeting it to trigger the cons a bit the way the Trump campaign claims it's targeting Colorado but will never, ever spend a dime there.
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