Reports: Romney giving up on Pennsylvania (?!)

[The Mikado]

The New York Times reported on Wednesday that the Republican challenger's campaign outlined an array of states where it thinks it can reverse President Obama's victory from four years ago, primarily Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio and Florida. The presentation, the paper reported, also included the names of six other states where Team Romney hopes to steal a win: Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire and Wisconsin.

I decided to see what the result would be if Romney won back the four states he mentioned on his primary list but none of the ones on the secondary list.  Other changes from 2008 include me ceding Romney Indiana and that one Nebraska district, both of which I think Romney didn't mention because their reversion to R goes without saying.

Obama 272, Romney 266.

You know, when you need states on your secondary list to win, it's not a secondary list.

[The Mikado]

The New York Times reported on Wednesday that the Republican challenger's campaign outlined an array of states where it thinks it can reverse President Obama's victory from four years ago, primarily Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio and Florida. The presentation, the paper reported, also included the names of six other states where Team Romney hopes to steal a win: Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire and Wisconsin.

I decided to see what the result would be if Romney won back the four states he mentioned on his primary list but none of the ones on the secondary list.  Other changes from 2008 include me ceding Romney Indiana and that one Nebraska district, both of which I think Romney didn't mention because their reversion to R goes without saying.

Obama 284, Romney 254.

You know, when you need states on your secondary list to win, it's not a secondary list.

Fixed.

You clearly didn't read my post, I said I was ceding Indiana and the Nebraska district to Romney because I was working under the assumption that Romney was taking their return to the GOP fold for granted (as, indeed, most people do).

[The Mikado]

The problem with Romney's strategy is that he essentially has to shoot the moon on swing states.  All it takes is an Obama win in either Ohio or Virginia to make a Romney win all but mathematically impossible.