New ipec poll, first poll of the second round:
Total votes:
Lula (PT) - 51%
Bolsonaro (PL) - 43%
Blank/Null - 4%
Undecided - 2%
Valid votes:
Lula (PT) - 55%
Bolsonaro (PL) - 45%
In case anyone is curious to how this compares to the pre-first round polls, looking at the last Ipec poll before the election, Lula fell 1 point in the total votes and 3 in the valid votes. Bolsonaro rose 6 points in the total votes and 3 in the valid votes.
Adjusting for a similar error in real votes would yield Lula winning 50-49.
Scary perspective.
