PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz

[Epaminondas]

for all the Fetterman fans, explain the thought process of somebody who voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020 but is likley to support Fetterman ?. Preferably without claiming they're low information or #populists.

Magnetic campaigners with daring visions is how you win back disaffected voters.

Besides, didn't Trump lose PA in 2020?

[Epaminondas]

At what point in the year is it too late for Lamb to back out and remain in his seat?

[Epaminondas]

Lamb will announce next Friday.

Suppose he runs and discovers that moderate-hero Democrats don't play so well in the PA Senate race, and that nobody needs a third Dem obstructionist in Congress, when is the deadline for him to fall back on his old seat where he's actually useful? March 2022?

[Epaminondas]

2020 showed that a lot of democratic senate candidates could have benefited from a tough primary- I largely think this is a good thing!

I find this claim intriguing, since every Dem who won a competitive seat in 2020 had cleared the field months beforehand (Hickenlooper, Kelly, Ossoff, Warnock) while the vigorous primaries seats were all lost (Cunningham vs Smith, Greenfield vs Franken, Hegar vs West)

Of 8 competitive seats, only 1 really makes your case (Maine) and Collins' personal brand there make it difficult to infer any course correction for the future.