Why restrict the choice to these five countries? They're not the Top5 of anything...
Anyway all of them are out until the late 2020s. The closest until then will probably be Biden's VP. Just a stroke or a worsening of dementia away.
France, Le Pen will win.
Doubt it, 2022 will probably be a repeat of 2017
I think it's fair to assume that Macron will
not garner 67% of the vote again in 2022, regardless of who opposes him.
French voters are a fickle lot. If 60% pull the lever for him again in 2 years time I'd be amazed.
There's a reason the far right doubled their vote share between their two runoffs of 2002 and 2017. Many French voters are done looking for centrist solutions.