Who will elect a female President first ?
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Question: Huh
#1
Austria
#2
France
#3
Germany
#4
Russia
#5
USA
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Author Topic: Who will elect a female President first ?  (Read 1144 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 13, 2020, 04:23:25 AM »
What do you think ?
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Amanda Huggenkiss
amanda dermichknutscht
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« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2020, 05:53:24 AM »
Austria or France.

Germany will take a while. Steinmeier's term does not expand until 2022, when he is eligible to run again. If he runs, I expect him to win.

Austria and France both also hold their presidential elections in 2022. If Van Der Bellen declines to run again, I can see the possibility of a woman succeeding him. In France, it would certainly be possible to see a Présidente Marine Le Pen, though Macron will propably win again in a 2017-rematch.

The United States will not have the possibility to vote for a female president until 2024, although it is possible that a female Biden-VP succeeds him if he resigns or is not capable of fulfilling his duties.

I don't see Russia having a female president in the near future.
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iceman
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« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2020, 05:54:49 AM »
how is this related to 2020 US presidential elections?

Anyway, i voted Germany.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: April 13, 2020, 06:40:20 AM »
Gretchen Whitmer is Prez material, but her candidacy depends on what happens in 2020.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: April 13, 2020, 08:43:30 AM »
Quote from: amanda dermichknutscht on April 13, 2020, 05:53:24 AM
Austria or France.

Germany will take a while. Steinmeier's term does not expand until 2022, when he is eligible to run again. If he runs, I expect him to win.

Austria and France both also hold their presidential elections in 2022. If Van Der Bellen declines to run again, I can see the possibility of a woman succeeding him. In France, it would certainly be possible to see a Présidente Marine Le Pen, though Macron will propably win again in a 2017-rematch.

The United States will not have the possibility to vote for a female president until 2024, although it is possible that a female Biden-VP succeeds him if he resigns or is not capable of fulfilling his duties.

I don't see Russia having a female president in the near future.

Especially since Putin is President for Life, which Trump will be if he's not voted out in November.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #5 on: April 13, 2020, 12:57:46 PM »
USA. The earliest I see the other doing so is France 2027 (god willing Le Pen won't win in two years) and I think a woman is a lock for the Dem nomination in 2024 and 2028.
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Grassroots
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« Reply #6 on: April 13, 2020, 01:25:22 PM »
France, Le Pen will win. Smiley
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Figueira
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« Reply #7 on: April 15, 2020, 08:21:28 AM »
« Edited: April 15, 2020, 01:50:10 PM by Figueira »
Seems weird to compare largely ceremonial presidents in Austria and Germany to presidents that are actually the chief executives of their countries. Germany already has a woman as Chancellor.

Edit: and so did Austria a few months ago. WTF.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #8 on: April 15, 2020, 12:51:07 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on April 15, 2020, 08:21:28 AM
Seems weird to compare largely ceremonial presidents in Austria and Germany to presidents that are actually the chief executives of their countries. Germany already has a woman as Chancellor.

This. It should be based on the person actually exercising executive power during normal times. 
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #9 on: April 15, 2020, 06:59:17 PM »
USA
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annecortez
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« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2020, 10:50:39 PM »
I think it's going to be uSA
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: April 20, 2020, 07:08:04 AM »
Gretchen Whitmer 2028 or 2024 depending on election outcome of 2020. By, 2028 Tim Ryan and Joe Kennedy would be primed for Prez
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MABA 2020
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« Reply #12 on: April 22, 2020, 06:51:03 AM »

Doubt it, 2022 will probably be a repeat of 2017
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #13 on: April 22, 2020, 08:18:06 AM »
« Edited: April 22, 2020, 08:22:29 AM by Epaminondas »
Why restrict the choice to these five countries? They're not the Top5 of anything...

Anyway all of them are out until the late 2020s. The closest until then will probably be Biden's VP. Just a stroke or a worsening of dementia away.

Quote from: MABA 2020 on April 22, 2020, 06:51:03 AM

Doubt it, 2022 will probably be a repeat of 2017

I think it's fair to assume that Macron will not garner 67% of the vote again in 2022, regardless of who opposes him.
French voters are a fickle lot. If 60% pull the lever for him again in 2 years time I'd be amazed.

There's a reason the far right doubled their vote share between their two runoffs of 2002 and 2017. Many French voters are done looking for centrist solutions.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #14 on: April 22, 2020, 08:19:16 AM »
Probably France.
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MABA 2020
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« Reply #15 on: April 23, 2020, 08:25:44 AM »
Quote from: Epaminondas on April 22, 2020, 08:18:06 AM

Quote from: MABA 2020 on April 22, 2020, 06:51:03 AM

Doubt it, 2022 will probably be a repeat of 2017

I think it's fair to assume that Macron will not garner 67% of the vote again in 2022, regardless of who opposes him.
French voters are a fickle lot. If 60% pull the lever for him again in 2 years time I'd be amazed.

There's a reason the far right doubled their vote share between their two runoffs of 2002 and 2017. Many French voters are done looking for centrist solutions.

I'm sure the margin will be smaller, maybe even less than 60%, but I can't see over 50% of the french public voting for the far right
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