This is a good way to se whee what's going on -
Republicans hold an advantage in being extremely enthusiastic about voting (49% to 32% for Democrats), while most partisans say they are almost certain to vote or have already voted (76% of Republicans vs. 77% of Democrats)
This is why the enthusiastic question means nothing for either side - whoever is leading. The latter question is what matters. Just because you're not enthusiastic doesn't mean you're not going to 100% vote. I could be the most unenthusiastic person in the world - but that doesn't mean I miss a single election!
Yes, and they
don't use "enthusiam" as likely voters screen nor to weight the results. So your "findings" are actually a bad news for T-Mac if anything. You has overunskewed this
Likely voters were defined as those registered to vote in Virginia who are extremely likely or very likely to vote or have already voted in the November elections.
The data were statistically weighted for gender, race and education. Weighting was done to match the modeled general and race demographics of the 2017 Virginia Gubernatorial Election.
They weighted after 2017 Gov, though. Hm...
