Among registered voters, it is Biden 50-45 in PA and 48-46 in FL.
There is more evidence that the huge disparity in early voting is starting to skew LV models in some polls. The NBC decision to only go by RV is starting to look like the better way to go this time around.
But if you’ve already voted, you’re not just a likely voter, you’re a DEFINITE voter. It would make no sense not to account for that.
They
say they voted. I mean FL LV/RV split is OK, but PA is a bit to much, I'd say. Still terrible #'s for Trump, though.
