The Examiner: Election Tracker (user search)
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June 02, 2024, 03:03:47 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: The Examiner: Election Tracker  (Read 194804 times)
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #25 on: April 15, 2008, 01:16:44 PM »

Realistically, this is the best ticket the PLP could have put forward. The list is headed by two fairly popular ex-Senators, and there are no "bad apples" (so to speak). But what the PLP will influence most is those last few seats; it could really kill Jake, who isn't the most popular figure in the liberal camp.

If the country could elect Phil as President, then we must accept that there is a right wing constituency here, no matter how silent it chooses to be. There are quite a few right-wing votes out there and not a lot on the ballot that appeals to them greatly. Seems to me that both Jake and SPC are well placed to gain from these votes, even if Jake hasn't been around.

Nothing to argue with here, though I'm surprised that people like Bacon King and Rocky are completely out of the running.

CultureKing is very unlikely to win anything; he's just not a very attractive candidate, what with the accusations of oppotunism and all. He got a very low spot on the PLP list, and I doubt NLCers will rate him much higher.

As I said, he's burned many bridges with the opportunism of taking bgwah's invitation for a Senate seat. I don't think anyone doubts that the JCP leader can rally some votes, in this case it's a tough ask, but if bgwah tries hard enough, he might just be able to get CultureKing back into the Senate. We just don't know just how inclined bgwah is to help out.

I don't think he'll find it worth his while to do so, and with such a large constituency as opposed to the friendly confines of the Pacific, with many giving CultureKing very low preferences, it'd be a real uphill battle. The JCP will lose a seat at this election; I don't think it's possible to argue with that.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #26 on: April 15, 2008, 02:06:09 PM »

I too assume that Wixted, Trondheim, and Afleitch will all gain enough votes to win election based on the sheer number of first preferences they'll received, with the remaining seats going to any combination of EarlAW, Rocky, Sensei, Bacon King, or possibly Jake, depending on how conservatives choose to first-preference their ballots and how loyal NLC members are to the recommended fourth and fifth preferences.

(Rocky will do well based on being 4th and/or 5th preferenced by members of both the NLC and PLP plus a scattering of higher-level support elsewhere based on personal friendships; Sensei and Earl are good candidates based on their high PLP preferencing and lower preferencing from other non-PLP liberals; Bacon King and Jake look good based on a lower preferencing from NLCers but higher preferencing from conservatives.  I generally assume that Culture King will lose re-election out of lack of favorable preferencing by anyone to the right of the JCP (also factoring in burned bridges with the PLP), and Hashemite too may lose out based on a lower preferencing by NLC members and lower support among other subgroups against fellow competitors for the fourth or fifth slots.  Happy Warrior will struggle for the same reason Hashemite will, or so I predict.)

South Park Conservative had a strong showing in the special election, though that was primarily due to his actually being from District 4 (same goes for Lewis—had Colin been a resident of D4 there is no question that he would have won the race, probably handily).  He's likely to get preferenced solely by conservatives, and then probably not high enough to actually beat out Jake or Bacon King for the fifth slot just based on PR-STV mechanics.

Good analysis. But basically, we'll know in a week. Tongue

I was from district 4... I totally forgot about that, actually. Smiley


Cheesy

Realistically, this is the best ticket the PLP could have put forward.

Hard to argue with that, considering you're not on it... Wink

Hah. That's basically what I said, though not as directly. Tongue
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #27 on: April 15, 2008, 02:29:46 PM »

I was from district 4... I totally forgot about that, actually. Smiley


And yet it was why you won Tongue
Three votes including Brandon, yeah... then again, the JCP's GOTV effort was worth four votes. Grin

I doubt all of those were JCP GOTV. Some, yes, but not all.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #28 on: April 15, 2008, 02:36:48 PM »

I was from district 4... I totally forgot about that, actually. Smiley


And yet it was why you won Tongue
Three votes including Brandon, yeah... then again, the JCP's GOTV effort was worth four votes. Grin

I doubt all of those were JCP GOTV. Some, yes, but not all.
Two of them are by JCP members... and the other two are bullet votes by people who never vote. So...

It could've been me, for all you know. I've gotten those bullet voters in the past. Tongue
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #29 on: April 15, 2008, 02:40:56 PM »

I was from district 4... I totally forgot about that, actually. Smiley


And yet it was why you won Tongue
Three votes including Brandon, yeah... then again, the JCP's GOTV effort was worth four votes. Grin

I doubt all of those were JCP GOTV. Some, yes, but not all.
Two of them are by JCP members... and the other two are bullet votes by people who never vote. So...

It could've been me, for all you know. I've gotten those bullet voters in the past. Tongue
which is why you have such a long, illustrious list of titles to your name, right?

If I hadn't gotten those votes, I'd have been as serious a candidate in the Pacific as Hughento or King.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #30 on: April 15, 2008, 03:14:48 PM »

I was from district 4... I totally forgot about that, actually. Smiley


And yet it was why you won Tongue
Three votes including Brandon, yeah... then again, the JCP's GOTV effort was worth four votes. Grin

I doubt all of those were JCP GOTV. Some, yes, but not all.
Two of them are by JCP members... and the other two are bullet votes by people who never vote. So...

It could've been me, for all you know. I've gotten those bullet voters in the past. Tongue
which is why you have such a long, illustrious list of titles to your name, right?

If I hadn't gotten those votes, I'd have been as serious a candidate in the Pacific as Hughento or King.

...who both actually won elections in that region at one point or another.

Remember your last run? You got as many votes as Robert Stark.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #31 on: April 15, 2008, 03:47:08 PM »

I was from district 4... I totally forgot about that, actually. Smiley


And yet it was why you won Tongue
Three votes including Brandon, yeah... then again, the JCP's GOTV effort was worth four votes. Grin

I doubt all of those were JCP GOTV. Some, yes, but not all.
Two of them are by JCP members... and the other two are bullet votes by people who never vote. So...

It could've been me, for all you know. I've gotten those bullet voters in the past. Tongue
which is why you have such a long, illustrious list of titles to your name, right?

If I hadn't gotten those votes, I'd have been as serious a candidate in the Pacific as Hughento or King.

...who both actually won elections in that region at one point or another.

Remember your last run? You got as many votes as Robert Stark.

Of course I remember that, but unlike you, I know that things change over time in atlasia. I've been here since the very first election, and whilst i'm not going to pull time-rank, I am going to suggest that clling me (or King, who is also a long-term and highly politically successful Atlasian) non-serious candidates is looking at only the very recent past, relative to the history of Atlaisa.

I remember when Wildcard was governor for life-you just met him yesterday. That's not a bad thing, but you lack perspective.

I'm not gonna argue with that. You win. Wink
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #32 on: April 15, 2008, 04:16:41 PM »


The PLP's national headquarters looms in Nyman, DC.
you have the right idea. more lightning would be a nice touch, though. maybe a fire.

And one of the letters should be flickering on and off.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #33 on: April 15, 2008, 11:53:49 PM »

The Examiner
15 April 2008


Senate Overrides Presidential Veto

The 7th vote in favour of overturning the President’s veto of the Sane Automobile Policy Bill has been cast by the newly sworn-in Senator Lewis Trondheim. The bill sets down newly prescibed and future targets for CAFE standards for the automobile industry to meet.

Successful veto overrides have been a rare occurance in Atlasia. It is believed that this may be the first successful override of a Presidential veto in almost 2 years.

----

Well, I'm probably just going to dissolve the Senate anyway so this doesn't matter.

Pull a Putin, will you? Wink
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #34 on: April 16, 2008, 10:27:07 AM »


Don't worry. So will a lot of other people.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #35 on: April 16, 2008, 06:59:28 PM »


I have full faith that you will outpoll kingofthebenchpress by a mile.  Smiley

Mr. Secretary do you even think Xahar will outpoll King of the Bench Press by a kilometre? Tongue

Since Xahar is not a candidate, no.

I am, just not for Senate.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #36 on: April 17, 2008, 06:04:01 PM »

The NLC hasn't exactly been doing a great job with unity in transfers. 3 voters, 0 following the party line. When the chairman doesn't even do it, you have to question whether they can optimize their clout to any great extent.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #37 on: April 17, 2008, 06:51:56 PM »

The NLC hasn't exactly been doing a great job with unity in transfers. 3 voters, 0 following the party line. When the chairman doesn't even do it, you have to question whether they can optimize their clout to any great extent.

One might almost imagine that the chairman was voting tactically, and that, if others follow the directed lead, the votes are more optimal than they would be otherwise.

That's an interesting strategy.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #38 on: April 17, 2008, 07:25:01 PM »

Am I the only one who doesn't like this system at all? Just seems so unnecessarily complicated. A lot of people are going to be confused.

Only when you're looking at the back end. STV is pretty simple; rank your candidates, and the five that are ranked highest by most people win.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #39 on: April 18, 2008, 10:24:46 AM »

Tactical voting in STV is more than voting in the proper order; look at the full results for the Belfast West constituency in the 2007 Northern Ireland election for what beautiful tactical STV voting is.

You'll win a special Examiner award if you can manage the NLC vote as well as that. Smiley

Hell, if you can do that, we'll crown you God-King so that you can no longer interfere with the elections of us mere mortals. Wink

Pacific General Election

Voting is also underway on the west coast for the positions of Governor and Lt. Governor. The JCP combination of Jesus and Alcon are expected to win comfortably. Two other candidates for the Governorship, Perdedor and Xahar, are also on the ballot paper, though are not expected to make an impact.

Hehe. I seem to get less and less billing in whatever election I happen to be in. Tongue
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #40 on: April 18, 2008, 10:36:03 AM »

Pacific General Election

Voting is also underway on the west coast for the positions of Governor and Lt. Governor. The JCP combination of Jesus and Alcon are expected to win comfortably. Two other candidates for the Governorship, Perdedor and Xahar, are also on the ballot paper, though are not expected to make an impact.

Hehe. I seem to get less and less billing in whatever election I happen to be in. Tongue

Well, unless you defy expectations, the fact that you're running is of limited news.
If you win, I can safely say that it will be headline news.

Even if Willy Woz gets a Senate seat by some fluke?
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #41 on: April 20, 2008, 11:46:09 AM »

Earl-tactics. I'd much rather work with you in the senate than KoBP, but practically I'm more likely to elect my fellow NPCers by ranking you lower on the ballot.

That pretty much explains my whole ballot.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #42 on: April 20, 2008, 05:43:51 PM »

[Nervous]

And Rocket did actually vote for me once. Though he voted for Friz in the runoff.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #43 on: April 21, 2008, 12:13:23 PM »

What about the ridiculously low turnout that prevailed in Pacific elections until I came in?
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #44 on: April 26, 2008, 04:25:26 PM »

Vote Xahar for Grand High Supreme Dictator/Overlord! He'll never be inactive!
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #45 on: April 27, 2008, 11:54:54 AM »

JPC leader, bgwah has criticised the delegates system as "unnecessary and complicated".

Typo.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #46 on: April 28, 2008, 09:08:45 AM »


I'm just serving as the friendly neighborhood spellchecker.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #47 on: May 07, 2008, 05:16:55 PM »

Slow news day, eh?
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #48 on: May 12, 2008, 10:54:07 AM »

All told the upcoming Senate elections look like they will lack any real spark, with only elections for 2 of the 5 seats likely to be contested and only 1 of those (Midwest) liable to being competitive.

Hey. I almost won last time. Remember? Tongue
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #49 on: May 12, 2008, 11:03:27 AM »

All told the upcoming Senate elections look like they will lack any real spark, with only elections for 2 of the 5 seats likely to be contested and only 1 of those (Midwest) liable to being competitive.

Hey. I almost won last time. Remember? Tongue

Indeed I do and the JCP quickly learned its lesson. I don't see anything short of a migration of sympathetic voters from elsewhere making you competitive this time.

I'm delusional, but with a very strong GOTV effort, something I almost managed in the first round but which killed me in the runoff, I could pull it out.

Of course, Torie should play a big role in this race. I wouldn't be surprised if he got the JCP endorsement. Really, who else is left in the JCP to run?
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